Isophoric News · Saturday, November 7, 2026
A rainy Saturday, a breezy break Sunday, then another round of rain
Rain showers all day Saturday, at 100%, with a quarter to half an inch and a high near 51. Showers continue tonight at 90%. Sunday turns partly sunny and near 56 after a chance of morning showers, before rain returns Sunday night and Monday.
Good morning, Oswego. It was a damp night: light rain fell at the airport in Fulton through most of the hours after midnight, at times with mist, and the temperature slipped to 42 degrees (first reached at 4:27 a.m.). At 6:54 a.m. Fulton was 42 and cloudy, and Syracuse was 45 and cloudy.
Alerts: As of 7:53 a.m. Saturday, the Weather Service listed no watches, warnings or advisories for Oswego County or for any land area in New York. On the water, the Lake Ontario marine feed listed Small Craft Advisories from NWS Buffalo: for the nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay and from Mexico Bay to the St. Lawrence River, which include the waters off Oswego, until 3 a.m. Tuesday; from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay, from 11 p.m. tonight until 3 a.m. Tuesday; and from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach, from 11 p.m. tonight until 7 p.m. Monday. For the waters east of Sodus Bay, NWS Buffalo expects west winds to 30 knots and waves of 8 to 11 feet late Sunday through Monday, and its advisory says "Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions." The New York feed listed no alerts.
Today: Rain showers, a 100% chance, with a quarter to half an inch. Cloudy, with a high near 51 and a west wind of 9 to 16 mph, according to the Weather Service. My own blend of the forecast models runs cooler, at 48. Buffalo's forecasters expect an area of rain across Central NY today, moving north and east into the North Country as the upper low moves east.
Tonight: Rain showers, a 90% chance, with a tenth to a quarter of an inch. Cloudy, with a low around 42 and a northwest wind around 16 mph. Buffalo's forecasters expect showers to peak in coverage this evening through the early overnight, staying all rain, and to end from west to east late tonight into Sunday morning.
Sunday: A 50% chance of showers before 10 a.m., then partly sunny, with a high near 56 and a west wind around 16 mph. My blend has 54. Buffalo's forecasters expect a windy Sunday, with gusts of 40 mph or more on the Niagara Frontier northeast of Lake Erie and 25 to 35 mph across the rest of their area. Rain showers return after 7 p.m. Sunday, at 100%, with a low around 39.
The week ahead: Monday brings rain showers, at 100%, with a high near 52 and a northwest wind of 17 to 21 mph; my blend has 50. Tuesday is partly sunny and near 57, Veterans Day near 52 with a 40% chance of showers, and Thursday near 48. Buffalo's forecasters expect colder air by the end of the week, with chances of rain and wet snow; the Weather Service has rain and snow showers possible Thursday night and Friday, at 30%, with lows near 28 and 29. Some individual model runs have shown an early-season accumulating snowfall by Friday and Saturday, but Buffalo's forecasters call rain with some minor higher-elevation snow "a much more likely scenario."
Tropics: Tropical Storm Pena is in the central Pacific, south-southeast of Hawaii, with 45-knot winds and a pressure of 1000 mb, moving west — no threat to our area.
Shepherd S., weather desk, Isophoric News