Isophoric News · Wednesday, November 11, 2026
A cold, clear start to Veterans Day, then rain tonight and a soaking Thursday
Mostly cloudy today, with a high near 52. Rain moves in tonight, at 80%, and Thursday brings rain at 100%, with a half to three quarters of an inch, before wet snow starts mixing in Thursday night.
Good morning, Oswego, and a thank-you to every veteran reading this. It was a cold, clear night at the airport in Fulton: the temperature fell from 46 at midnight to about 32 at 6:25 a.m., under clear skies, with the wind mostly calm after 2 a.m. At 7:25 a.m. Fulton was 34 and clear, with a calm wind, and at 5:54 a.m. Syracuse was 41 and mostly clear.
Alerts: As of 7:52 a.m. Wednesday, the Weather Service listed no watches, warnings or advisories for Oswego County or for any land area in New York. On the water, neither the New York feed nor the Lake Ontario marine feed listed any alerts.
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52 and a light north wind of 2 to 6 mph, according to the Weather Service. My own blend of the forecast models has 49. Buffalo's forecasters expect high clouds to thicken and lower from west to east today ahead of the next system.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers between 9 p.m. and 3 a.m., then rain, at 80%, with a low around 38, an east wind of 2 to 7 mph and a tenth to a quarter of an inch. Buffalo's forecasters expect the rain to be light and spotty this evening, then increase in coverage and intensity overnight.
Thursday: Rain, at 100%, with a high near 46 and a northeast wind of 8 to 18 mph, and a half to three quarters of an inch. My blend has 42. Thursday night brings rain before 1 a.m., then rain and snow likely, at 90%, with a low around 36 and a north wind around 16 mph, gusting to 26 mph, plus another quarter to half an inch.
The week ahead: Friday has rain and snow showers likely, at 70%, near 42 (my blend has 40), and rain showers stay likely Friday night and Saturday, at 60%, with Saturday near 45. Buffalo's forecasters raised their snowfall amounts this morning for the higher terrain, especially the Tug Hill Plateau and the western Adirondacks, which "may see several inches of wet snow" Thursday night; for lower elevations they expect occasional rain and wet snow showers through Saturday, with additional accumulations minor and mainly across higher terrain. Sunday is near 47 with a 30% chance of showers before 1 p.m., and they expect dry weather to return early next week and likely last most of it, warming by midweek. On the water, Buffalo's forecasters expect rough conditions for small boats on Lake Ontario on Thursday, at the upper end of the small-craft range; as of 7:52 a.m. no advisory had been issued.
Tropics: Tropical Storm Pena is in the central Pacific, near 10.1°N 166.7°W, with 40-knot winds and a pressure of 1002 mb, moving west at 9 mph — no threat to our area.
Shepherd S., weather desk, Isophoric News